5/1 Canelo Alvarez beats GGG in the third fight

2 a.m.: Austin Williams – Keiron Conway – Williams points or decision
3am: Ali Akhemdov v Gabriel Rosado – Akhmetov points or decision
4 a.m.: Jesse Rodriguez Franco – Israel Gonzalez. Rodriguez points for decision
5 a.m.: Saul Canelo Alvarez – Gennady Golovkin – Alvarez to win round 9-12

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Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez v Gennadiy Golovkin at the T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas has a classic big-fight feel – the trilogy between legends will conclude who’s the better man and the winner takes away all four middleweight titles. On the bottom card, new superweight superstar Jesse “Pam” Rodriguez faces Israel Gonzalez, Ali Akhmedov faces Gabriel Rosado, and Austin ‘Uncle’ Williams meets Brett Keiron Conway.

The pair’s first and second fights were so close that they had to put him back in again, this time at the ultra-middleweight with all four titles at stake. Canelo Alvarez has cleared the 168th division and all belts in the past two years, but for Gennadiy Golovkin, this is the first time he’s competed above 160 pounds.

In his last fight in May, Alvarez dared to go great against lightweight heavyweight title holder Dmitri Bevol, but the Russian boxer thoroughly broke up the illustrious Mexican.

Canelo made no excuse for losing, but most people think his stamina has been affected by packing on muscle.

The defeat to Bevol in May was only the second loss in Canelo’s 61 fight career – the other coming early in his career when, at just 23 years old, he lost to experienced Floyd Mayweather. But, in the eyes of most people, Alvarez should have picked up at least one more “L” from the two previous contests with Golovkin.

The legendary duo made their debut in 2017 when ‘GGG’ was the unified champ with an intimidating KO ratio, and Canelo had gained weight from being the super welterweight king.

Golovkin appeared to go down hard and repeatedly, but a judge made an infamous and inexplicable 118-110 in the Mexican’s favour.

The rematch the following year was a true pick-up match as Canelo met Golovkin impressively in the middle of the ring. The referees handed out a mixed verdict to Alvarez, and those two scores remain the only flaws in Golovkin’s 44-pound professional record.

However, Triple G, 40, is nothing like the same fighter from four or five years ago. In May, the Kazakh Terror looked old against strong contender Ryota Morata – Golovkin’s foot movement was unsteady, he hit his body and appeared to be gassed – but still had the potential to pull off a ninth round of KO at Saitama Super Arena in Japan. .

I think Gennady would be a better Saturday for his return to America and because he blew out the cobwebs, maybe it’s time to let his body fill up to 168 lbs. But I also think Canelo would be more enthusiastic and in better shape than he had against Bevol, and as the best body hitter in the business, he would target old man Golovkin downstairs.

The enmity is deep between these two people and they will not lack any motivation. Another fight will be pretty close by eight or nine rounds, but then Canelo’s body work and youth will be enough to take over – it’s a tight call whether Alvarez can get a KO but I would face the high odds of a late stop.

‘Pam’ Rodriguez isn’t messing around – in 2021 he was just a 14-0″ 21-year-old flyweight prospect, but earlier this year he got an unexpected shot at super flyweight champion Carlos Cuadras and won it , in June by blowing up low weight legend Srisaket Sor Rungvisai.

Gonzalez hasn’t been on the same track, but the Mexican, 25, has been steadily improving and, despite his losses, hasn’t been outdone by the big players. Rodriguez, the new South American title holder at 115 pounds, is a star in the making, with rare strength at this weight, But I think this weekend he will have to accept the decision to win.

The native Golovkin Akhmedov is another boxer from the old Soviet region who appears to have been carved out of the iron mines. The Kazakh quarterback won 18, 14 by KO, but in 2020 he was stopped out in the 12th round after holding most of the scrap. It is too easy to hit Akhmedov at the moment to be considered a potential hero, but he has time on his side.

On the other hand, Rosado became in the twilight of his career. The veteran defender has been at his best, including GGG, and although he lost his biggest game, he hasn’t been stopped since 2014.

Rosado can catch a cold in the opening rounds, but I think he will hold the last bell again – Akhmedov’s return with points.

Williams is one of those fighters gifted with speed and strength who may have relied too much on his physical talents and didn’t develop the softer side of the game. An eye test may indicate that Conway is out of his depth, but the Northampton man has a hit and he’s strong.

I think Conway will find his feet in the middle rounds but Williams will do enough to get a nod from the referees.

Boxing Tips:

All battles Sunday morning, GMT

2 a.m.: Austin Williams – Keiron Conway – Williams points or decision
3am: Ali Akhemdov v Gabriel Rosado – Akhmetov points or decision
4 a.m.: Jesse Rodriguez Franco – Israel Gonzalez. Rodriguez points for decision
5 a.m.: Saul Canelo Alvarez – Gennady Golovkin – Alvarez to win round 9-12

* All prices are up-to-date with our nifty tools, while copy odds are accurate at time of publication but subject to change

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